BI
Backblaze, Inc. (BLZE)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Beat on revenue and EPS; Q2 revenue was $36.3M vs S&P consensus $35.4M*, and Primary EPS was $0.01 vs $(0.05)*, driven by accelerating B2 growth (29% YoY) and stronger AI-related demand .
- Raised FY25 revenue guidance to $145–$147M (from $144–$146M) and guided Q3 revenue to $36.7–$37.1M; reiterated FY25 adjusted EBITDA margin of 17–19% .
- Gross margin expanded 800 bps YoY to 63% largely from extending hardware useful lives (plus scale efficiencies); adjusted EBITDA margin reached 18%, above guidance .
- Announced a cash‑neutral $10M share repurchase (funded by option/ESPP proceeds) and secured a new $20M credit facility, supporting dilution management and flexibility; expects adjusted FCF positive in Q4’25 .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- B2 acceleration and AI momentum: B2 revenue +29% YoY to $19.8M; three of top 10 customers are AI companies; first six-figure Overdrive win signed early Q3, pipeline expanding .
- Quote: “We’re pleased with our continued strong quarterly performance… and solidifying our journey to be Adjusted Free Cash Flow positive in Q4.” — CEO Gleb Budman .
- Margin expansion and operating leverage: Gross margin 63% (vs 55%), adjusted EBITDA margin 18% (vs 9%); drivers include hardware life re-estimate and scale .
- Capital allocation: Authorized $10M buyback (cash‑neutral), reduced projected SBC dilution by ~15–25% trajectory; added $20M revolver to lower non‑US capex costs .
What Went Wrong
- NRR down as price increase laps: Company NRR 109% (vs 114% LY); B2 NRR 112% (vs 126% LY) with CFO noting price increase lapping effect .
- Backup growth decelerating: Computer Backup revenue +4% YoY but management expects low‑to‑mid single‑digit quarterly declines through 2025; secular pressure in consumer backup offset by enterprise features (e.g., Legal Hold) .
- Adjusted FCF still negative YTD: 1H25 adjusted FCF $(6.0)M and Q2 adj FCF margin (11)%, though improvement vs LY and guided to positive in Q4 .
Financial Results
Multi-period summary (GAAP and non‑GAAP)
Q2 2025 vs Wall Street consensus (S&P Global)
*Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Segment revenue and growth
KPIs and liquidity
Non-GAAP adjustment context (Q2): Non-GAAP net income excludes $7.3M SBC, $0.477M FX loss, $0.138M legal settlement, and a small restructuring credit; GAAP net loss was $(7.1)M vs non-GAAP net income $0.8M .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO strategic message: “We’re… solidifying our journey to be Adjusted Free Cash Flow positive in Q4… Through product innovation, go-to-market transformation, and the power of AI, we are expanding our role as the leading independent cloud storage provider” .
- On Overdrive and AI: “Two months after launch, we’ve already signed our first six-figure B2 OverDrive customer… the performance and cost savings were clear” .
- CFO on transformation: “Zero-based budgeting freed up $8M… redeploying nearly half to growth… two consecutive quarters of increased B2 revenue growth… We remain on track to achieve our guidance of becoming free cash flow positive in Q4” .
- CFO on gross margin: “Estimated useful life of fixed assets now ~6 years vs 3–5 before… accounts for most of the gross margin improvements this quarter” .
Q&A Highlights
- AI/Overdrive pipeline and pricing: Early pipeline ~a dozen large opportunities; Overdrive priced ~250% above standard B2; target multi‑PB customers needing throughput (e.g., model training) .
- NRR dynamics: Reported declines driven by lapping price increase; underlying expansion stable to improving after adjusting for one-off customer changes .
- Computer Backup outlook: Focus shifts to steadying business with enterprise controls and Legal Hold; no current plan for price increases; expect low‑mid single digit quarterly declines near term .
- Sales cycle: AI customers moving faster; consumption model suits those avoiding long commitments .
- Capex timing: Pulling some Overdrive-related DC capex into Q3 to support POCs; free cash flow positive still targeted for Q4 .
Estimates Context
- Q2 2025: Revenue $36.3M vs $35.4M*; Primary EPS $0.01 vs $(0.05)* — both beats .
- Q3 2025: Company guides $36.7–$37.1M; Street at ~$36.9M* revenue and $(0.02)* EPS; guidance brackets consensus revenue .
- FY 2025: Guide raised to $145–$147M; Street quarterly path implies modest sequential acceleration into Q4*; target price consensus ~$11.3*.
*Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- B2 growth inflecting with AI tailwinds and Overdrive; management now targeting 30%+ B2 growth exiting FY25 — a key narrative driver .
- Profitability trajectory improved: 63% GM from asset life changes and scale; adj EBITDA margin 18% with continued operating leverage .
- Capital returns/dilution: $10M cash‑neutral buyback plus SBC management expected to reduce dilution trajectory by ~15–25%; supports share supply/demand .
- Watch NRR stabilization into 2026 as price increase laps; customer success motions expected to lift expansion .
- Near-term risks: Backup softness, AI customer concentration/variability, and capex timing for Overdrive ramp .
- Setup into Q3: Guide brackets consensus revenue; any incremental AI/Overdrive wins or durable NRR uptick could catalyze estimate revisions .
Appendix: Additional Relevant Press Releases in Q2
- $10M Share Repurchase Program (cash‑neutral, through Aug 1, 2026) .
- Security features update (AI-powered Anomaly Alerts, Bucket Access Logs, enterprise web console/RBAC) .
- 8‑K exhibits: first amendment to credit agreement (permits repurchase), $20M credit facility details .